TY JOUR TI SELECTING A MODEL FOR TREND-BASED CRIMINOLOGICAL FORECASTING KW criminological forecasting KW time series KW mathematical model JO Vestnik of the East Siberian institute of the Ministry of internal affairs of the Russian Federation AU Demenchenok, O.G. AU Baranov, S.A. PY 2023 IS 0 PB East Siberian institute of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation